četvrtak, 10. studenoga 2011.

ATP Paris Fel.Lopez-J.Isner

Pick:Over 24,5 games
Odds:1.85
Stake:5/10

LOST   4-6 2-6

Today  in late schedule we have meeting between to extremely good servers,Spaniarn Felicijano Lopez and American John Isner.Neither of them has been expected to reach third round as they had hard oponnents.Isner has beaten Stanislas Wawrinka and later in straight sets Kunyitsn while Lopez had much harder way  winning in straight sets two home players Llodra and Monfils.In both matches Lopez was underdog but his serve and perfect play at the net pushed him forward.
In today's match the winner will be decided in tiebreaks.If I had to give advantage to any of players it would be Feliciano Lopez despite the fact that Isner has better serve.Lopez has really low backhand slice which will force Isner to bend and it is always problematic for tall players.Considering their playing strategies they are pretty simillar.Mostly it is serve and volley but I wouldnt be suprised if we see few baseline exchanges today,in which will Lopez have advantage beacuse better backhand(isner can only sllice while Lopez has good backhand).I do not see more then 2 break opportunities in total match and if this match goes in straight sets,it will be in worst case 7-6 7-5 which is also over.I do not see this match going under and I think over is very good bet.

Danas u vecernjem terminu imamo susret izmedju dva izrazita servisera,Spanjolca Feliciana Lopeza i Amerikanca Johna Isnera.Od nijednog se nije ocekivalo da ce uspjeti doci do treceg kola jer su imali izrazito teske protivnike u prva 2 kola.Isner je iznenadujuce pobijedio Stanislasa wawrinku pa zatim Kunyitsina u 2 seta.S druge strane je Lopez imao puno tezi posao pobjedivsi s 2-0 oba domaca tenisaca,Llodru i Monfilsa.U oba meca je bio outsider ali ga je servis i izrazito dobra igra na mrezi dovela do treceg kola.
U danasnjem mecu ocekujem da se pobjednik odluci u tiebreakovima.Ukoliko bih morao dati prednost nekom tenisacu,u ovom trenutku bi dao Lopezu unatoc cinjenici da Isner ima bolji servis.Lopez ima vrlo nizak backhand slice koji ce prisiljavati Isnera da se saginje sto je vrlo problematicno za vise igrace zbog opterecenja koljena.Sto se tice njihovih stilova igre,poprilicno su slicni.To je uglavnom Servis i igra na mrezi,iako me ne bi cudilo da bude  i par izmjena sa osnovne linije,u kojima ce Lopez imati prednost radi puno kompletnijeg backhanda.Ne vidim vise od 2 break lopte u ovom susretu i ocekujem 3 seta,ali i ako bude pobjeda u 2 seta rezultat ne bi trebao biti ispod 7-6 7-5 sto opet  znaci da ide preko gemova.
Sretno

ATP Paris:Mardy Fish-Juan Monaco

Pick:Mardy Fish to win
Odds:1.50
Stake:6/10

Fish predao - 1.00

After defeat of Simon,Monfils and Almagro it is most likely that Fish will hold his eight place that will place him into the London finals.Only player that can take his play is Tipsarevic by winning the tournament.Even that wouldnt be enough for Tipsarevic as in case that Fish reaches quarterfinaly he has secured his spot.
After his injury Fish has signed in for Paris mostly to increase selfconfidence and get used to the fast surface.
Yesterday,he demolished German Mayer(6:1,6:2) and reached the third round.He has won 62% of indoor matches.
Monaco is on the other hand in great form and made some great results.After dramatic loss in finals of Valencia(against Granollers in tiebreak) in Paris he has won Young and Simon(6:4 6:0).
It must be said that Simon doesnt play well lately and his chances were minimum  so his unconsintency continued.
Despite all the facts I will be betting on Mardy Fish today.He has shown some really impressive game against Mayer who plays simillar style as Monaco,mostly playing from the baseline.Fish had great serve and his forehand is much stronger then Monac's which should prevail.Also Monaco's fitness is very questionable as he had only one day rest between Valencia and Paris.His serve is not so great and I expect at least 2 breaks by Fish,without losing his serve.

Nakon poraza Simona,Monfilsa I Almagra,najizglednija je situacija da ce Fish uspjeti sacuvati svoje 8.mjesto na ATP ljestvici.Jedini koji ga može stići je Tipsarevic ukoliko osvoji turnir.Cak ni to ne bi bilo dovoljno ukoliko bi Fish uspio doci do cetvrtfinala koje mu i teorijski osigurava finale u Parizu.
Nakon ozljede butnog misica Fish se prijavio na Pariz kako bi stekao samopouzdanje i privikao se na podlogu koja je ista kao i u Londonu.Jucer je unistio Njemca Floriana Mayera(6:1 6:2) i dosao do treceg kola.Vrlo je uspjesan na indooru te ima 62% pobjeda.
Monaco je sa druge strane u izvanrednoj formi.Nakon dramaticnog finala u Valenciji(gdje je izgubio u tiebreaku treceg seta od Granollersa) ,u Parizu je pobijedio Younga i Simona(6:4 6:0).Simon je u zadnje vrijeme vrlo nekonstantan i nesiguran tako da ni rezultat drugog seta ne treba zacudjivati.
Unatoc svim cinjenicama danas se kladim na Fisha.Pokazao je zaista impresivnu igru u mecu protiv Mayera koji ima slican stil igre kao i Monaco,uglavnom igra sa osnovne linije.Fish ima odlican servis te vrlo snazan forehand koji bi trebao odluciti mec.Takodjer spremnost Monaca je vrlo upitna jer nakon Valencije je imao samo 1 dan odmora i upitno je koliko je spreman za danasnji mec u kojem bi se,istini za volju,trebao natrcati.Takoder njegov servis nije dorastao Fishovom i ocekujem barem 2 breaka Fisha,uz nijedan gubitak svog servisa.
Sretno

First analysis and tip

Euroleague:Partizan-Real Madrid
Pick:Over 152,5
Odds:1.90
Stake:6/10

WIN   80-79

After win over Charleroi Partizan will have home meeting against Real today.This is matchup of the teams that are strong under the basket and have great shooters.Pekovic and Macvan will have most important role in this match.Pekovic is dominant for Begic and Tomic.Only player from Real that could have stop him is Ipaka as he is much stronger then Tomic and Begic.Macvan is good player that has excellent back technique and get into the paint.Real Madrid plays much faster basketball this season.It is more like run and gun basketball as their Players Fernandez,Llul and Carrol are fast and play that way.Considering that Euroleague referees have changed their criterium and give a lot more of free throws,and with a fact that Real Madrid shoots over 20 free throws per match this seems like easy over.Partizan has gone over both matches at home court,and Real Madrid has 3 overs so far.

Nakon pobjede nad Charleroiom Partizan ce se susresti sa Realom u Pioniru danas.Ovo je sudar dvije ekipe koje su jake ispod kosa i koje imaju odlicne bekove.Pekovic i Macvan ce imati najvazniju ulogu.Pekovic je dominantan za Begica I tomica te ce se jedini sa njim moci nositi Ibaka,jer je snazan i fizicki vrlo spreman.Macvan je igrac koji moze igrat licem ali i ledima kosu jer ima izvrsnu tehniku i zna iskoristiti svoju masu.Real ove sezone igra puno brzu igru prvenstveno radi svojih bekova kojima ta brza igra odgovara.Takodjer su puno brzi od bekova od Partizana pa mozemo ocekivati "run and gun" kosarku.Real ima privilegije kod sudaca(preko 20 slobodnih po utakmici),a s obzirom da Pekovic voli kontakt igru mozemo ocekivati velik broj slobodnih bacanja.Brza igra,puno slobodnih bacanja,dobri suteri su i vise nego dobar razlog za over.